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12-21-2021
12-21-2021
As the year ends, data is crystallizing into familiar patterns. Follower-rich candidates with little name recognition in Oregon or among current voters are skewing data. Removing the outliers, however, allows actual trends to be identified. The top three declared Democratic candidates are Speaker Tina Kotek, Treasurer Tobias Rad, and Yamhill County Commissioner Casey Kulla. The most popular three Republicans are Dr. Bud Pierce, Mayor Stan Pulliam, and Mayor Kerry McQuisten. Newer candidates will ramp up their campaign efforts closer to the Primary, giving lesser known campaigns the chance to turn the tide.
As the year ends, data is crystallizing into familiar patterns. Follower-rich candidates with little name recognition in Oregon or among current voters are skewing data. Removing the outliers, however, allows actual trends to be identified. The top three declared Democratic candidates are Speaker Tina Kotek, Treasurer Tobias Rad, and Yamhill County Commissioner Casey Kulla. The most popular three Republicans are Dr. Bud Pierce, Mayor Stan Pulliam, and Mayor Kerry McQuisten. Newer candidates will ramp up their campaign efforts closer to the Primary, giving lesser known campaigns the chance to turn the tide.
The Money Primary: Republicans
The Money Primary: Republicans
Republicans Over Time
Republicans Over Time
Mayor Kerry McQuisten had the largest small donation haul in November, beating Mayor Stan Pulliam and Dr. Bud Pierce for the first time.
Mayor Kerry McQuisten had the largest small donation haul in November, beating Mayor Stan Pulliam and Dr. Bud Pierce for the first time.
Republican Totals
Republican Totals
Dr. Pierce and Mayor Pulliam remain the largest recipients of small donations by an order of magnitude.
Dr. Pierce and Mayor Pulliam remain the largest recipients of small donations by an order of magnitude.
The Money Primary: Democrats
The Money Primary: Democrats
Democrats Over Time
Democrats Over Time
New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof saw a small drop in the number of small donations from November-December but still surpasses other Democrats by an order of magnitude.
New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof saw a small drop in the number of small donations from November-December but still surpasses other Democrats by an order of magnitude.
Democratic Totals
Democratic Totals
Kristof also retains the highest total of small donations, a feat that other Democrats will struggle to reach.
Kristof also retains the highest total of small donations, a feat that other Democrats will struggle to reach.
The Facebook Primary: Republicans
The Facebook Primary: Republicans
Facebook November-December
Facebook November-December
December marked the first time in months that Mayor Kerry McQuisten did not have the largest net increase in Facebook Likes, this time beaten by Mayor Stan Pulliam. Rep. Christine Drazan saw a small increase in Likes following her campaign announcement. Dr. Bud Pierce saw a negative net increase in Likes.
December marked the first time in months that Mayor Kerry McQuisten did not have the largest net increase in Facebook Likes, this time beaten by Mayor Stan Pulliam. Rep. Christine Drazan saw a small increase in Likes following her campaign announcement. Dr. Bud Pierce saw a negative net increase in Likes.
Twitter November-December
Twitter November-December
Mayor Stan Pulliam rocketed upward on Twitter between November to December, while Mayor McQuisten stayed in the top 3 where she has been for months. Superintendent Marc Thielman arrived in the top 3 for growth for the first time during the campaign after consistently pulling in fewer new Followers.
Mayor Stan Pulliam rocketed upward on Twitter between November to December, while Mayor McQuisten stayed in the top 3 where she has been for months. Superintendent Marc Thielman arrived in the top 3 for growth for the first time during the campaign after consistently pulling in fewer new Followers.
The Facebook Primary: Democrats
The Facebook Primary: Democrats
Facebook
Facebook
Former New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof still has the most Facebook Likes. Mayor Ted Wheeler has the most Likes among Oregon elected officials.
Former New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof still has the most Facebook Likes. Mayor Ted Wheeler has the most Likes among Oregon elected officials.
Twitter
Twitter
Former New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof retains his lead on Twitter, though he has seen no net change in followers in the last two months.
Former New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof retains his lead on Twitter, though he has seen no net change in followers in the last two months.
Senate Candidates
Senate Candidates
Facebook
Facebook
Incumbent US Senator Ron Wyden has an indomitable lead on Facebook, but he lost hundreds of Likes between November-December. The fastest growing Republican candidate is Darin Harbick, a former school board member and brief candidate for US Senate.
Incumbent US Senator Ron Wyden has an indomitable lead on Facebook, but he lost hundreds of Likes between November-December. The fastest growing Republican candidate is Darin Harbick, a former school board member and brief candidate for US Senate.
Twitter
Twitter
Harbick was also the fastest growing Republican on Twitter. Senator Wyden saw a small negative net change in followers, followed by 2020 Green Party nominee Ibra Taher and 2020 GOP nominee Jo Rae Parkins, a former Albany Human Relations Commissioner.
Harbick was also the fastest growing Republican on Twitter. Senator Wyden saw a small negative net change in followers, followed by 2020 Green Party nominee Ibra Taher and 2020 GOP nominee Jo Rae Parkins, a former Albany Human Relations Commissioner.
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